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What will affect the price change of aluminum profile housing

2019-03-30

The factors affecting the price change of aluminum profile shells are mainly due to the following aspects:


First, the impact of alumina supply, aluminum alloy costs account for 28% -34% of the production cost of aluminum ingots. Due to the high concentration of the international alumina market, most of the world's alumina (80% to 90%) is sold through long-term contracts, so there is very little alumina available for sale in the spot market. Take China as an example. Before 1997, China's alumina gap was mainly purchased in the international spot market, and there was no long-term contract. In 1997, China Nonferrous and Alcoa signed a 30-year long-term supply contract, 400,000 tons per year, and the price was priced according to a certain percentage of LME primary aluminum prices. In recent years, the scale of China's electrolytic aluminum production has continued to expand, resulting in the domestic demand for alumina is also growing, currently about two-thirds of imported alumina needs to be purchased from the spot market. China's large-scale purchase of alumina in the international market directly promoted the sharp increase in international alumina prices. According to statistics, in 2004, China imported a total of 5.87 million tons of alumina, an increase of 4.8% year-on-year, and the average import price was 340 US dollars (foreign alumina The cash cost of production is less than 120 US dollars. It is simple to calculate that only the direct import of alumina in 2004 will cost the foreign alumina suppliers up to several billion RMB. The rising price of alumina has caused the production costs of electrolytic aluminum producers to rise sharply, and the economic benefits have fallen sharply. Most companies have suffered small profits or losses.


Second, the impact of supply and demand, the relationship directly affects the market pricing of commodities. When the market supply and demand relationship is temporarily balanced, the market price of the commodity will fluctuate within a narrow range; when the supply and demand relationship is unbalanced, the price will fluctuate greatly. . In the aluminum futures market, investors can focus on an indicator that reflects the change in the relationship between supply and demand of aluminum – inventory. The inventory of aluminum profile housing is divided into report inventory and non-report inventory. The report inventory is also called “dominant inventory”, which is the amount of inventory that the futures exchange regularly announces the aluminum of its designated delivery warehouse. Non-reported inventory mainly refers to the amount of aluminum held by producers, traders and consumers worldwide. Since these stocks are not statistically and released by specialized agencies, these stocks are also called “hidden stocks”. .


Third, the impact of electricity prices, the aluminum industry is also known as the "electric tiger" industry, the current average power consumption of aluminum and aluminum plants at home and abroad are controlled below 15,000 kwh / t. Experience with aluminum ingot production in Western countries shows that it is considered dangerous when electricity costs exceed 30% of aluminum production costs.


Fourth, the impact of the economic situation has become an important non-ferrous metal species, especially in developed countries or regions, aluminum consumption has been highly correlated with economic development. When a country or region's economy develops rapidly, aluminum consumption will also grow at the same time. Similarly, the economic downturn will lead to a decline in aluminum consumption in some industries, which in turn will lead to fluctuations in aluminum prices. In addition, fluctuations in the price of some metals associated with aluminum, fluctuations in international oil prices, and changes in industrial policies in various countries have an impact on aluminum prices.


5. The influence of import and export tariffs and international exchange rates. The trade of aluminum six is generally priced and settled in US dollars. In recent years, the impact of the US dollar on aluminum prices is obvious. The impact of import and export tariffs on the price of aluminum profiles is particularly prominent in China.


Sixth, the improvement and innovation of the production process of aluminum profile shells on the impact of aluminum prices, the rapid application of computer technology in the aluminum electrolysis industry, led to the in-depth study of the physics field in the electrolysis process and the establishment of mathematical models to make the design of the electrolysis cell More reasonable, the capacity of the trough has increased significantly.




The above is the understanding of Kunshan Bojie Lien Precision Electronics Co., Ltd., a thousand readers have a thousand Hamlet, and Kunshan Bojeren Precision Electronics Co., Ltd. may not represent the views of all people. Kunshan Bojie Lien Precision Electronics Co., Ltd. Kunshan CNC processing, Shanghai CNC processing, Suzhou CNC processing, welcome to inquire to buy: 0512-57665298.


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